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Bush Insider Says Kamala Will Lose

Mark McKinnon, a seasoned GOP strategist known for his work with President George W. Bush, has stirred debate with his bold prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris could easily best former President Donald Trump in the upcoming election. In an opinion piece for Vanity Fair, McKinnon outlined his rationale, emphasizing the enthusiasm gap between the two candidates’ supporters.

He pointed out that while Trump’s base is deeply committed, the excitement among Harris’ supporters is palpable. A recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll highlighted this enthusiasm gap, with Harris’ backers expressing significantly higher levels of excitement compared to Trump supporters, 68% to 60%. McKinnon referenced Gallup’s findings that the party with greater enthusiasm at the campaign’s end typically emerges victorious.

Moreover, McKinnon drew attention to the differing ground game strategies between the two parties. He noted that Democrats are investing in paid field workers, while Republicans often rely on volunteers. This discrepancy, he argues, is crucial and may not be adequately captured in standard polling data. Reports have indicated that Harris’ campaign is deploying organized, paid staff across the country, whereas Trump’s team has been focused more on less frequent voters and outside groups that lack experience.

Additionally, McKinnon highlighted the “gender gap” in this race, suggesting that women could be pivotal in determining the election’s outcome. While Trump leads among male voters, Harris appears to have a significant advantage with women, according to recent polls. He predicted that this demographic shift could “shatter all previous records” and play a decisive role in the election.

Ultimately, McKinnon stressed that the historical contributions of women to American democracy should not be underestimated, positing that they will again rise to the occasion in this critical election. As Republicans, it’s essential to recognize these dynamics and strategize accordingly to engage our base and address the concerns that resonate with all voters.