Kamala Leading Trump By 6 Points?
Recent polling data from CNN reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris currently holds a slim lead over former President Donald Trump in two key battleground states, Wisconsin and Michigan. According to the SSRS survey, Harris garners 51% support among likely voters in Wisconsin, while Trump follows with 45%. In Michigan, Harris leads with 48%, compared to Trump’s 43%. These numbers indicate a modest improvement for Harris compared to earlier polling efforts in these critical swing states.
In Pennsylvania, another vital state for the GOP, the race is neck and neck, with both candidates tied at 48% support among likely voters. This polling suggests a tightening contest as both sides gear up for what could be a contentious election cycle. While Michigan’s results show no change since an August survey, there has been a slight uptick for both candidates in Pennsylvania, where their support increased from 47% to 48%. Similarly, in Wisconsin, both candidates gained 1 percentage point since the last poll.
Interestingly, the data also reflects how voters perceive their choices. In Michigan, a notable 59% of respondents indicated their vote was primarily for Harris, while only 40% said it was a vote against Trump. Pennsylvania mirrored this sentiment, with 58% supporting Harris versus 42% against Trump. However, when examining Trump’s support, the numbers shift dramatically: in Michigan, 76% of voters said they were casting their ballots for Trump, with only 24% voting against Harris. This trend continued in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where 79% expressed support for Trump.
Furthermore, voter certainty appears to be solidifying as election day approaches. In both Michigan and Pennsylvania, 94% of likely voters reported that their minds were made up, reflecting a 9-point increase from August. Wisconsin’s respondents showed a similar trend, with 95% indicating they were decided.
As we move closer to the election, these findings underscore the significance of voter sentiment and commitment in these crucial states. The data, collected between October 23-24 among a robust sample of registered voters, demonstrates that while Harris may be leading in some areas, Trump’s unwavering support among his base remains a formidable force to contend with. The upcoming weeks will be critical as both parties intensify their outreach to sway undecided voters.
