Kamala And Trump Still Tied

A recent CBS News/YouGov survey shows a closely contested race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in crucial battleground states, as Harris gains traction following her formal nomination by the Democrats. The poll reveals a tight race in these key states, with Trump and Harris each securing 50% support. On a national scale, Harris holds a narrow advantage over Trump by just one point, marking a stronger position for Democrats compared to the previous standings with President Biden as the nominee.

The poll further indicates that Harris has a slight edge over Trump when considering the presence of third-party candidates, leading by 2 points. This boost in Harris’s support comes on the heels of increased enthusiasm from the Democratic base, which has translated into record-setting fundraising efforts and large, passionate rallies. This energy is reflected in the poll numbers, with a higher percentage of Democrats expressing a firm commitment to vote compared to when Biden was the Democratic frontrunner.

Regarding voter turnout, 85% of Democrats and 88% of Republicans indicate they are certain to vote, showing a small decrease from the previous month but still indicating strong engagement from both parties. Harris has made notable gains among Black voters, a critical demographic for the Democrats, with 74% now indicating they will “definitely” vote. This is a significant increase from the 58% committed under Biden’s campaign. Harris’s support among Black voters has also risen to 81%, compared to Biden’s 73%, addressing concerns about Biden’s diminishing appeal in this key group.

In terms of gender, Harris has gained an edge with women voters, capturing 54% of their support, while Trump continues to attract 54% of male voters. The survey highlights a competitive situation in the battleground states: Harris and Trump are tied in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. Trump holds a slight lead in Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina, while Harris has a narrow advantage in Nevada.

The CBS News/YouGov poll was conducted with around 3,100 registered voters from July 30 to August 2, with a margin of error of 2.1%, providing a detailed snapshot of the current state of the presidential race.