Republicans To Lose A Key Senate Seat?
The Republican Party is facing a high-risk Senate primary battle in deep-red Texas, and conservatives are sounding the alarm. A heated clash between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton could cost the GOP its hold on a critical Senate seat—and potentially the chamber itself.
Trump Allies Collide in Texas: Cornyn vs. Paxton
According to new polling from the Senate Leadership Fund, Senator Cornyn is trailing Paxton by a stunning 16 points among Republican primary voters. But in a general election, Paxton is neck-and-neck—and even slightly behind—Democrat Colin Allred, raising red flags among GOP strategists who fear Texas could unexpectedly go blue.
Cornyn, a veteran lawmaker with a 99% pro-Trump voting record, warned that nominating Paxton would force the GOP to spend millions defending what should be a safe Republican seat.
“Nobody wants to burn money defending Texas—we should be spending that cash flipping blue states, not protecting red ones,” Cornyn said.
Legal Baggage and MAGA Base: Paxton’s Polarizing Profile
Ken Paxton is popular with grassroots conservatives and has closely aligned himself with President Trump’s MAGA agenda. However, Paxton’s past legal troubles—including securities fraud charges, corruption accusations, and a historic impeachment by the Texas House—make him a potential liability in a general election.
Cornyn’s team launched a scathing attack ad accusing Paxton of approving over $7 million in taxpayer-funded grants to far-left groups. Supporters of Cornyn say the move reveals deep vulnerabilities that Democrats will exploit if Paxton wins the nomination.
Conservative Leaders Warn of GOP Civil War
Rep. Michael McCaul, who once served as deputy attorney general under Cornyn, expressed concern over internal GOP conflict.
“This kind of infighting drains time, money, and focus. We need unity if we’re going to win back the Senate—and ultimately, the White House,” he said.
Meanwhile, Paxton’s camp brushed off the criticism. “It’s a $100 million Senate race in Texas no matter who’s on the ballot,” said one senior advisor. “We’ve beaten the establishment before—and we’ll do it again.”
Trump Factor Looms Large
The biggest unknown in the race? President Trump’s endorsement. While Paxton is seen as a staunch MAGA ally, Cornyn has been a consistent backer of Trump’s legislative wins. But Trump’s inner circle has yet to tip the scales with an endorsement.
A GOP strategist described the scenario bluntly:
“Cornyn can’t win a primary. Paxton could lose the general. It’s a five-alarm fire. If we lose Texas, we lose the Senate—and President Trump’s agenda hangs in the balance.”
Could a Dark Horse Save the GOP?
Enter Rep. Wesley Hunt—a decorated veteran and rising conservative star. Hunt is reportedly exploring a Senate run and polls competitively against both Cornyn and Paxton. He even leads Allred in a general election scenario.
“I’m keeping my options open,” Hunt told reporters. “When you’re holding pocket aces, it’s easy to go all in.”
Final Thoughts
The Texas Senate race is shaping up to be the GOP’s most dangerous internal battle ahead of 2025. With control of the Senate and President Trump’s legacy at stake, conservatives across the nation will be watching—and so will Democrats hoping for a rare Texas win.
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