Top Republican Announces Retirement?
Iowa politics just took a dramatic turn. Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) — a veteran, conservative firebrand, and two-term U.S. Senator — is expected to retire instead of seeking reelection in 2026. Her decision sets the stage for a high-stakes Senate race that could determine the balance of power in Washington.
Ashley Hinson Poised to Carry the Torch
Rep. Ashley Hinson, a rising Republican star and former TV reporter who has represented Iowa since 2021, is the top name floated to replace Ernst. Conservative insiders believe Hinson has the fundraising power and grassroots support to keep Iowa red.
Party operatives say her strong alignment with President Donald Trump’s America First agenda makes her the natural frontrunner in the GOP primary.
Democrats Smell Opportunity — But Face Long Odds
Democrats are eager to seize on Ernst’s retirement, with several candidates already entering the race:
- Jackie Norris, Des Moines School Board Chair
- Nathan Sage, former Chamber of Commerce director
- Josh Turek, State Representative
- Zach Wahls, State Senator
Despite their efforts, Democrats face an uphill climb in Trump country. Iowa voters handed Trump decisive victories in both 2016 and 2020, and the state has leaned steadily more conservative over the past decade.
Ernst’s Conservative Legacy
First elected in 2014, Ernst became nationally known for her famous “make ’em squeal” ad targeting Washington’s big spenders. She won reelection in 2020 against Democrat Theresa Greenfield despite a massive influx of liberal money.
Known for her blunt style, Ernst often drew national attention. From reminding voters “we’re all going to die” during a tense budget debate to helping confirm Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, she never shied away from controversy.
Her departure leaves Republicans determined to defend her seat and advance Trump’s agenda in the Senate.
Why This Race Matters
The Iowa Senate race will be one of the most closely watched contests of 2026. With control of the Senate on the line, both parties are gearing up for a multi-million-dollar battle.
For conservatives, it’s about protecting Trump’s progress, securing the border, and stopping Democrat overreach. For Democrats, it’s a desperate attempt to flip a seat in a state that has grown increasingly hostile to their policies.
