Trump Celebrates His Crime Record
President Donald Trump traveled to New York on Friday with a powerful new statistic to highlight: violent crime across the United States fell sharply in 2025, according to newly released FBI data.
Speaking at the Nassau County Police Academy on Long Island, Trump promoted his administration’s law-and-order agenda while making the case that Republicans offer voters a stronger approach to crime, policing and public safety.
The visit also carried major political significance ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with Republicans hoping to win competitive congressional races in New York and strengthen their position in the governor’s race.
FBI Data Shows Violent Crime Fell Sharply in 2025
The numbers released by the FBI provided the centerpiece for Trump’s appearance.
According to the FBI’s 2025 crime statistics, violent crime decreased an estimated 9.3% nationwide compared with 2024.
Several major categories recorded particularly substantial declines:
- Murder and non-negligent manslaughter: down 18.1%
- Robbery: down 18.5%
- Rape: down 7.6%
- Aggravated assault: down 7.2%
- Property crime: down 12.4%
The figures give Americans an encouraging indication that the nationwide decline in serious crime is continuing.
The trend did not begin with Trump’s return to the White House. FBI figures also showed violent crime falling in 2024, making the latest numbers part of a broader multi-year decline.
Trump nevertheless argued that his administration’s policies have helped make American communities safer.
Trump Makes Law and Order a Midterm Issue
Surrounded by police officers, Trump used the appearance to draw a sharp contrast between Republicans and Democrats on public safety.
He criticized the progressive “defund the police” movement and accused Democrats of supporting policies that make the work of police officers more difficult.
Trump also targeted New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and other Democratic leaders while promoting Republicans running in some of the state’s most competitive elections.
For conservative voters, particularly Americans over 50 who remember earlier debates over rising crime and neighborhood safety, the president’s message was straightforward: support law enforcement and make public safety a government priority.
That argument could become an important part of the Republican strategy heading into November.
Trump Points to Washington Crime Crackdown
Trump also highlighted his administration’s efforts to address crime in Washington, D.C., and other American cities.
The president has repeatedly defended the use of the National Guard as part of his broader approach to restoring order in communities struggling with violent crime.
During Friday’s speech, Trump said people working around the White House have personally thanked him for improvements in safety.
He contrasted Washington today with conditions he said existed roughly two years earlier, arguing that the nation’s capital has become considerably safer.
Critics dispute Trump’s claims about how much his policies deserve credit for falling crime rates. Crime trends are influenced by numerous local and national factors, and the nationwide decline was underway before Trump returned to office.
Still, the latest FBI numbers provide Republicans with significant new data as they make public safety a centerpiece of their midterm message.
Why Nassau County Matters to Republicans
Trump’s choice of Nassau County was hardly accidental.
The Long Island suburb has become increasingly important in New York politics.
Trump narrowly carried Nassau County in the 2024 presidential election, becoming the first Republican presidential nominee in more than two decades to win the county.
Republicans now believe they have additional opportunities there in 2026.
Two Democratic-held congressional seats covering parts of Nassau County are among the races Republicans hope to make competitive.
Republican Michael LiPetri Jr. is challenging Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi in New York’s 3rd Congressional District, while Republican Jeanine Driscoll is running against Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen in the 4th District.
With control of Congress at stake, suburban districts like these could have national consequences.
Trump Backs Bruce Blakeman Against Hochul
The president’s visit also provided a boost for Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, the Republican challenging Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul.
Trump has endorsed Blakeman and is attempting to help Republicans make public safety a defining issue in the New York governor’s race.
Blakeman welcomed Trump’s appearance and praised Nassau County’s law enforcement facilities and police officers.
He has also argued that his relationship with the president could benefit New York if he becomes governor.
For Blakeman, the political calculation is clear: even some voters who disagree with Trump on individual issues may see value in having a governor capable of communicating directly with the White House.
Hochul’s campaign strongly disagrees.
Her campaign has defended the governor’s record and pointed to billions of dollars in public-safety investments while criticizing Blakeman and the Trump administration’s approach to immigration enforcement.
That sets up a potentially significant debate for New York voters: Which approach is more effective at keeping communities safe?
Trump Promotes Tax Cuts and Economic Policies
Crime wasn’t the president’s only subject.
Trump also discussed taxes, tariffs and the economy, connecting his public-safety message with the financial concerns facing working Americans.
He promoted the tax-and-spending legislation enacted last year and specifically discussed tax relief involving overtime pay.
That provision could be especially appealing to police officers, first responders and other hourly employees who frequently work overtime.
The combination of lower taxes, economic growth, border security and safer communities is likely to become a recurring theme as Republicans make their case to voters ahead of November.
Republicans See Crime as a Winning Issue
Republican strategists believe public safety gives GOP candidates an opportunity to reach voters beyond the traditional conservative base.
Crime can have a particularly strong impact in suburban communities, where independent and swing voters may be concerned about policing, property crime, neighborhood safety and the quality of life in their communities.
It also gives Republicans an issue they can discuss alongside the economy, inflation, immigration and taxes.
Trump’s overall approval ratings have faced challenges on several subjects, but crime and public safety have historically been among his stronger political issues.
That helps explain why the White House is putting considerable attention on the latest FBI statistics.
Crime Decline Predates Trump’s Second Term
There is an important piece of context behind the numbers.
America’s decline in violent crime did not begin when Trump returned to the White House.
FBI statistics showed violent crime declined approximately 4.5% in 2024, including a 14.9% decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter.
The decline accelerated in 2025, when overall violent crime dropped another 9.3%.
That means both Republicans and Democrats are likely to debate who deserves credit.
Trump and his allies point to tougher enforcement, support for police and the administration’s immigration and crime policies.
Critics argue the downward trend was already underway and that crime rates are affected by numerous factors beyond the actions of any single president.
For voters, however, the most important development may simply be that the numbers are moving in the right direction.
FBI Crime Numbers Give Trump a New Talking Point
The timing of the FBI report could prove politically valuable for Trump.
The president has been working to convince Americans that Republican policies can deliver safer streets, stronger law enforcement and greater stability in American communities.
Now he has fresh federal statistics to incorporate into that argument.
A 9.3% nationwide decline in violent crime is significant. An 18.1% decline in murder is even more striking.
The question heading toward November is whether voters will credit Trump’s policies, view the improvement as part of a longer-term trend, or focus on other concerns such as the economy and foreign policy.
Either way, public safety is positioned to become one of the defining issues of the 2026 midterm elections.
For Republicans trying to win suburban voters in New York and across the country, the latest FBI crime report gives them something every campaign wants heading into Election Day: hard numbers showing progress on an issue voters care deeply about.






